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At left, former President Donald Trump arrives for a campaign rally in Green Bay, Wisconsin, on April 2. At right, the Republican National Committee logo is shown on the stage as crew members work at the North Charleston Coliseum in North Charleston, South Carolina, on Jan. 13, 2016.
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At left, former President Donald Trump arrives for a campaign rally in Green Bay, Wisconsin, on April 2. At right, the Republican National Committee logo is shown on the stage as crew members work at the North Charleston Coliseum in North Charleston, South Carolina, on Jan. 13, 2016. (Scott Olson / Getty Images; Rainier Ehrhardt / AP)

Polls Reveal Positive Signs for Trump - Highlight Significant Work for GOP Senate Candidates

 By Samantha Chang  May 3, 2024 at 8:13am
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A new poll shows former President Donald Trump edging out President Joe Biden in seven battleground states, setting the stage for a potentially close race in November’s presidential election.

According to the latest Emerson College Polling/The Hill survey released Tuesday, Biden trails his presumptive Republican opponent by 3 points or more in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.

Trump lost most of these swing states in 2020, so winning them this year could help him punch his ticket back to the Oval Office.

The Emerson College poll surveyed 1,000 registered voters April 25-29. The margin of error was plus or minus 3 percent.

In Arizona, Trump leads Biden by 4 points, with 48 percent support versus 44 percent, according to the poll.

In Georgia, the Republican is up by 3 points, 47 percent to 44 percent.

The former president has a 1-point lead over the Democrat in Michigan and Nevada, 45 percent to 44 percent.

In North Carolina, Trump leads Biden by 5 points, with 47 percent support to 42 percent.

And in both Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, he is up by 2 points, 47 percent to 45 percent.

Spencer Kimball, executive director of Emerson College Polling, said the swing state polls haven’t changed much during the past six months.

“The state of the presidential election in swing states has remained relatively consistent since Emerson and The Hill started tracking them last November,” Kimball said.

“The share of undecided voters has reduced and Biden gained ground in Georgia and Nevada, narrowing the gap, while Trump has maintained a slight edge on Biden in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin,” he said.

The latest survey also shows independent voters favoring Trump over Biden in battleground states.

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“Independent voters break for Trump over Biden in Arizona (48 percent to 38 percent), Michigan (44 percent to 35 percent), Nevada (43 percent to 37 percent), Pennsylvania (49 percent to 33 percent), and North Carolina (41 percent to 38 percent),” Kimball said.

“However, they break for Biden over Trump in Georgia (42 percent to 38 percent) and Wisconsin (44 percent to 41 percent),” he said.

While the poll paints an encouraging picture for the former president, the leading GOP Senate candidates are trailing their Democratic counterparts in five races, according to the Emerson survey.

Will the GOP win the House and Senate in November?

In Arizona, Democratic Rep. Ruben Gallego is up by 2 points against Republican Kari Lake, 45 percent to 43 percent.

In Pennsylvania, 46 percent of voters support incumbent Democratic Sen. Bob Casey, while 42 percent support Republican challenger Dave McCormick.

In the Michigan race to replace the retiring Sen. Debbie Stabenow, 42 percent support Democratic Rep. Elissa Slotkin, while 40 percent support former Republican Rep. Mike Rogers.

In Wisconsin, 46 percent of survey respondents support incumbent Democratic Sen. Tammy Baldwin, while 43 support Republican Eric Hovde.

In Nevada, incumbent Democratic Sen. Jacky Rosen leads Republican Sam Brown by 8 points, 45 percent to 37 percent.

In a hypothetical matchup between Rosen and another Republican challenger — Jeff Gunter — Rosen leads by a wider margin, with 47 percent support versus 33 percent.

Obviously, polls are not the end-all-be-all, since they’re temporary snapshots of public sentiment that can and do change over time.

Having said that, the latest survey paints a troubling portrait of Biden’s failed presidency as an administration in shambles.

This isn’t surprising, since the United States is being roiled by crippling inflation, soaring crime and daily border invasions.

Even with Trump being bogged down with sham lawsuits, there’s growing sentiment that things cannot continue as they are with Biden in office.

That said, even if the 45th president secures a second term, he’ll have a hard time accomplishing anything if the GOP loses control of the Senate.

Either way, both Trump and Biden have their work cut out for them if they want to win re-election come November.

A Note from Our Deputy Managing Editor:

 

I heard a chilling comment the other day: “We don’t even know if an election will be held in 2024.” 

 

That wasn’t said by a conspiracy theorist or a doomsday prophet. No, former U.S. national security advisor Lt. Gen. Michael Flynn said that to the founder of The Western Journal, Floyd Brown.

 

Gen. Flynn’s warning means that the 2024 election is the most important election for every single living American. If we lose this one to the wealthy elites who hate us, hate God, and hate what America stands for, we can only assume that 248 years of American history and the values we hold dear to our hearts may soon vanish.

 

The end game is here, and as Benjamin Franklin said, “We must all hang together, or assuredly we shall all hang separately.”

 

All of this means that without you, it’s over. We have the platform, the journalists, and the experience to fight back hard, but Big Tech is strangling us through advertising blacklists, shadow bans, and algorithms. Did you know that we’ve been blacklisted by 90% of advertisers? Without direct support from you, our readers, we can’t continue the fight.

 

Can we count on your support? It may not seem like much, but a Western Journal Membership can make all the difference in the world because when you support us directly, you cut Big Tech out of the picture. They lose control. 

 

A monthly Western Journal Membership costs less than one coffee and breakfast sandwich each month, and it gets you access to ALL of our content — news, commentary, and premium articles. You’ll experience a radically reduced number of ads, and most importantly you will be vitally supporting the fight for America’s soul in 2024.

 

We are literally counting on you because without our members, The Western Journal would cease to exist. Will you join us in the fight? 

 

Sincerely,

Josh Manning

Deputy Managing Editor

The Western Journal

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Samantha Chang
Contributor, Commentary
Samantha Chang is a political commentator, lawyer and financial editor in NYC.
Samantha Chang is a politics writer, lawyer and financial editor based in NYC.




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