Breaking

Former President Donald Trump gives a thumbs up during a Hispanic roundtable at Beauty Society in Las Vegas, Nevada, on Oct. 12. (Ethan Miller / Getty Images)

New York Times Election Needle Swings Toward Trump as Votes Roll In

By Randy DeSoto November 5, 2024 at 8:06pm

Election night appears to be shaping up well for Republican Donald Trump over Democrat Kamala Harris.

Based on the returns nearing 10 p.m. ET, The New York Times presidential forecast needle moved from tossup to leans toward Trump.

The Electoral College estimate has Trump winning 287 to 251.

(The Western Journal’s small editorial team is fighting to bring you the Truth on Election Day. Support our efforts, join the fight and gain access to exclusive election analysis with a Western Journal Membership.)

A candidate needs 270 votes to win the presidency.

The Times predicted probable wins for Trump in the swing states of Nevada, Arizona, Georgia, and North Carolina.

The so-called Blue Wall states of Pennsylvania and Michigan are seen as probable wins for Trump, per the outlet, though they remain tight.

Wisconsin remained a toss-up.

For the first time all night, the NYT needle no longer has the election as a toss up. They now say Trump has a 65% likelihood to win the election (“Leaning Trump”). pic.twitter.com/lnMwStfrjU

— Glenn Greenwald (@ggreenwald) November 6, 2024

States the New York Times has called include Texas and Florida, the second and third most populous states in the country with 40 and 30 Electoral College votes, respectively.

The Times sees New Mexico and Virginia as likely wins for Harris.

Trump made campaign stops in both states last week in hopes of moving them into his win column.

Submit a Correction →

We are committed to truth and accuracy in all of our journalism. Read our editorial standards.

Tags:

2024 election, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, The New York Times, U.S. News

Randy DeSoto

Contributing Journalist

SummaryMore Biographical InformationRecent PostsContact

Randy DeSoto has written more than 3,000 articles for The Western Journal since he began with the company in 2015. He is a graduate of West Point and Regent University School of Law. He is the author of the book "We Hold These Truths" and screenwriter of the political documentary "I Want Your Money."

@RandyDeSoto

Randy DeSoto wrote and was the assistant producer of the documentary film "I Want Your Money" about the perils of Big Government, comparing the presidencies of Ronald Reagan and Barack Obama. Randy is the author of the book "We Hold These Truths," which addresses how leaders have appealed to beliefs found in the Declaration of Independence at defining moments in our nation's history. He has been published in several political sites and newspapers.

Randy graduated from the United States Military Academy at West Point with a BS in political science and Regent University School of Law with a juris doctorate.

Birthplace

Harrisburg, Pennsylvania

Nationality

American

Honors/Awards

Graduated dean's list from West Point

Education

United States Military Academy at West Point, Regent University School of Law

Books Written

We Hold These Truths

Professional Memberships

Virginia and Pennsylvania state bars