Western Journal Poll: Kevin Stitt Leading in Oklahoma Republican Primary, Many Still Undecided

By The Western Journal June 19, 2018 at 12:26pm

The Western Journal conducted a political survey to gather information on the Oklahoma 2018 Republican Gubernatorial Primary Election.

Of the 1,101 Oklahoma respondents, 23.5 percent prefer candidate Kevin Stitt for governor. Though, 20.7 percent of respondents reported that they are still undecided, and Dan Fisher is preferred by 14.7 percent closely followed by Mayor Mick Cornett, who is favored by 13.9 percent of respondents.

The race for lieutenant governor is more up in the air. Over half of the respondents, 64.1 percent, still have not decided which candidate they will vote for. However, 18.4 percent favor Matt Pinnell and 12.4 percent prefer Dana Murphy for the position.

The complete poll results are as follows:

1. Do you intend to vote in the June 26th primary election in Oklahoma?

Yes — 97.5 percent
Undecided — 2.0 percent
No — 0.5 percent

2. In the Republican primary election for governor of Oklahoma, the candidates running are listed below. Please select your preference for governor among the choices listed:

Kevin Stitt — 23.5 percent
Undecided — 20.7 percent
Dan Fisher — 14.7 percent
Mick Cornett — 13.9 percent
Todd Lamb — 10.7 percent
Gary Richardson — 8.8 percent
Gary Jones — 6.0 percent
Blake “Cowboy” Stephens — 1.0 percent

3. In the Republican primary election for lieutenant governor of Oklahoma, the candidates running are listed below. Please select your preference for lieutenant governor among the choices listed:

Undecided — 64.1 percent
Matt Pinnell — 18.4 percent
Dana Murphy- 12.4 percent
Eddie Fields- 3.6 percent

4. In the Republican primary election for attorney general of Oklahoma, the candidates running are listed below. Please select your preference for attorney general among the choices listed:

Undecided — 47.0 percent
Gentner Drummond — 28.9 percent
Michael J. Hunter — 17.1 percent
Angela Bonilla — 6.9 percent

5. Are you registered to vote in Oklahoma?

Yes — 99.3 percent
No — 0.5 percent
Other — 0.2 percent

6. Do you have a favorable opinion of President Donald J. Trump?

Yes — 93.1 percent
No — 3.6 percent
Other — 3.3 percent

7. Regarding your party affiliation, do you consider yourself to be a:

Republican — 84.6 percent
Independent — 9.1 percent
Democrat — 1.5 percent
Other — 4.8 percent

8. On the issue of abortion, do you consider yourself to be:

Pro-Life — 81.2 percent
Pro-Choice — 10.1 percent
Other — 5.7 percent
Undecided — 3.0 percent

9. Regarding taxes, do you want:

Your Taxes Decreased — 82.3 percent
Other — 15.5 percent
Your Taxes Increased — 2.2 percent

10. Do you have a favorable opinion of Nancy Pelosi?

No — 97.1 percent
Other — 1.9 percent
Yes — 1.0 percent

11. What is your gender?

Male — 53.3 percent
Female — 46.7 percent

12. Are you better off now than you were 2 years ago?

Yes — 78.7
No — 15.2 percent
Other — 6.1 percent

13. Do you agree with the NRA and its strong support of gun owners’ rights?

Yes — 95.1 percent
Other — 3.0 percent
No — 1.9 percent

14. What is your age?

60 or older — 37.0 percent
50-59 — 30.4 percent
40-49 — 18.1 percent
30-39 — 9.4 percent
21-29 — 4.1 percent
18-20 — 1.0 percent

15. Which race/ethnicity best describes you? (Please choose only one.)

White/Caucasian — 83.6 percent
American Indian or Alaska Native — 8.1 percent
Multiple ethnicities/Other — 6.3 percent
Hispanic — 1.4 percent
Black or African American — 0.4 percent
Asian/Pacific Islander — 0.3 percent

16. On the topic of immigration, do you believe that America:

Has an illegal immigration problem — 95.4 percent
Other — 3.6 percent
Does not have an illegal immigration problem — 1.0 percent

17. Which of the following best describes your current relationship status?

Married — 68.3 percent
Divorced — 12.7 percent
Widowed — 6.5 percent
Single, never married — 6.2 percent
Single, but cohabiting with a significant other — 3.0 percent
Separated — 1.8 percent
In Domestic Union or Civil Partnership — 1.5 percent

18. What is the highest level of education you have completed?

Graduated from college — 22.9 percent
Graduated from high school — 19.8 percent
2 years of college — 17.3 percent
Completed graduate school — 11.4 percent
1 year of college — 11.3 percent
3 years of college — 6.8 percent
Some graduate school — 6.3 percent
Did not attend school — 1.7 percent
11th Grade — 1.3 percent
10th Grade — 0.8 percent
9th Grade — 0.3 percent
7th Grade — 0.1 percent

19. Have you ever served in any branch of the United States military?

No — 76.6 percent
Yes — 22.4 percent

20. Which political party do you believe will control the U.S. House of Representatives after the 2018 elections?

Republicans — 91.0 percent
Undecided — 6.0 percent
Democrats — 3.0 percent

21. Which political party do you believe will control the U.S. Senate after the 2018 elections?

Republicans — 90.5 percent
Undecided — 6.6 percent
Democrats — 2.9 percent

22. How much money did you personally earn in 2017?

$0-$9,999 — 18.3 percent
$30,000-$39,999 — 11.8 percent
$40,000-$49,999 — 11.2 percent
$20,000-$29,999 — 10.0 percent
$50,000-$59,999 — 9.2 percent
$10,000-$19,999 — 8.9 percent
$60,000-$69,999 — 6.4 percent
$100,000-$124,999 — 5.1 percent
$150,000 or more — 4.7 percent
$70,000-$79,999 — 4.7 percent
$80,000-$89,999 — 4.3 percent
$90,000-$99,999 — 2.9 percent
$125,000-$149,000 — 2.4 percent

Of the more than 3.94 million people currently living in Oklahoma, 2.51 million are on Facebook and 1.36 million are Republicans. The Western Journal’s political survey targeted these 1.36 million Republicans in Oklahoma.

The poll consisted of three different audiences: people affiliated with the Republican Party, people who identified as conservative, and people who were both affiliated with the Republican Party and also identified themselves as conservative.

The audience demographic consisted of fluent English speakers of all genders who were at least 18 years old.

The information, comments and visits from The Western Journal’s millions of Facebook followers allow The Western Journal to invite likely gubernatorial primary voting Facebook registrants in Oklahoma, and other states nationwide, to participate in the surveys we conduct with a high confidence rate that the voters we asked to respond, will actually vote. More importantly, the makeup of those who respond to The Western Journal’s surveys indicates the population of registered voters that will turn out and vote in the primary.

Each respondent’s entries reported in the article are supported by a name, email address and zip code and can be matched against voter file and other databases available to confirm voter eligibility in the state, districts and precincts targeted in this survey. Responses were statistically balanced using Facebook’s Artificial Intelligence tools and programs available to The Western Journal for this program, some of which are proprietary due to our scale and reputation.

Questions about this survey can be submitted through the contact us page.

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